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Kim is yet to drop a shot on the Stadium Course this week and with him peppering pins and gaining shots for fun in all the long game departments it is only his traditionally wobbly putter that held him back on Saturday from putting daylight between him and the rest of the field. On this basis I have high hopes he can get the job done in an event, which it should be noted has seen two third round leaders out of five triumph since the Stadium Course took over host honours, and of the three at the top he is the one in normal circumstances I would be tempted to put up this morning at the odds.
Weighing up a golf betting strategy based on a weather forecast is of course a notoriously poisoned chalice and I am sure I am not the only person who has got their fingers burnt over the years through backing players based on tee times, style of play due to a predicted weather forecast etc, only for it not to come to fruition, however in this situation I do feel we have to factor it heavily in to our thinking.
Gooch, a native of Oklahoma who still resides in the state, is more than used to playing in the wind and has shown in his time on tour that he is comfortable in tough conditions most recently at the brutally challenging API last March where his 72 71 over the weekend was the best final two round performance only matched by one other player in the field Dechambeau.
The 29 year old who has been knocking on the door for a while now with five top five finishes over the past two and a bit seasons, posted 17th place and fourth place finishes in this event over the last two years, closing with a 64 on the Stadium Course in , so he is clearly at home here, and after opening up poorly with a 74 he has really found his straps to shooting 66 65 over the past two days.
Starting back in a tie for 13th place you would normally say that Gooch has too many players to pass for a victory to be considered, however with only a four shot gap between him and the leaders it may just be that if he can grind out a solid 70 or thereabouts that he vaults up the board if others really start to struggle. Crucially also Gooch tees off 50 minutes before the leaders at A lot of speculation of course and weather forecasts being what they are I could be left with egg on my face as we sit watching the drama unfold in serene conditions, however with four each way places and juicy odds on offer I'm happy to chance Gooch to small stakes from the pack while cheering on Kim from the front.
Horse Racing. Tips Centre. Free golf betting tips: Final-round preview of The American Express. Golf betting tips: The American Express, final round 1pt e. Like what you've read? Most Read. I like desert golf courses. Aside from his continuing issues with the putter, the main negative here is that An has hardly set the world alight so far in That said, he ranked 12th in strokes-gained approach in making the cut last week and while failing to do so in The American Express, he produced three solid enough rounds after a lightning start on his return to action.
We'll need him to improve again, but he's just so comfortable here and can flush his way into the mix. Perhaps this time he can see things through a little better. That victory as a Monday qualifier in Texas is a decent enough pointer in itself, TPC San Antonio having some obvious similarities with Scottsdale, but what's most compelling is the form he's shown since, a period when so many breakthrough winners struggle to adjust to their enhanced status.
Dating back to July, Conners has managed 10 top finishes in 11 starts, arriving here on a run of six tops, and 12th place when fancied for the Sony Open was a very nice way to begin the new year. While he'd finished with a rattle for third place there a year earlier, I don't believe Conners is likely to be any less suited to Scottsdale on what's his debut in the event, which while not perhaps ideal didn't stop Stanley and Brooks Koepka winning the title.
Matthew Wolff interested me somewhat - he's twice the price of Morikawa, the pair having finished alongside each other last week, and Wolff gained some Scottsdale experience when playing well to finish 50th as an amateur last year. A Scottsdale resident, Homa snapped a run of missed cuts - six in total - when finishing 26th here last year, striking the ball especially well as he took the first steps towards a maiden victory at Quail Hollow in the spring.
One year on, he arrives in much better form courtesy of last week's top finish at Torrey Pines, after which he spoke so well regarding the shocking death of LA Lakers legend Kobe Bryant. Homa again did everything well at Torrey Pines, a big step forward with the putter the final piece of the jigsaw, and everything now looks in place at a course which really should play to his strengths.
The twitter star has ranked first, fourth, 10th and 14th for greens hit over his last four starts, as good a sequence as he's produced, and if the putter continues to fire he looks set to outplay his odds. Put in the time and keep ur head down. RIP 8 As well as regularly contending for this title, Laird has never been worse than 15th in six starts in Reno, and his very first PGA Tour win came at TPC Summerlin in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, where he was beaten in a play-off as defending champion.
Back to Scottsdale, Laird has been third, fifth, seventh and ninth here, and having been eighth through 54 holes last year it's only a bad round in foul weather which prevents him from arriving in search of his fourth top finish in succession. In his form coming in read MC and in he finished ninth here having missed two cuts in as many starts, so while MC doesn't read particularly well it's important to remember that he's defied a similar preparation in the past.
In fact, three of his four career wins have been out of the blue and this high-ball hitter, who ranked 14th for greens in regulation last season, is perfectly capable of emerging to contend here once again. At 37 and having not won anything since , getting over the line would be a concern, but he's so well suited to this challenge that I'd rather roll the dice on four good rounds for a place than get stuck into anyone at the front of the market.
Harry Higgs and Tom Hoge are two from last week who could back-up - Hoge is playing really well and has some good rounds here under his belt - but the final selection is J. As with Laird, his form figures explain the price - Spaun is without a top finish in over a year - but there were some good signs at Torrey Pines last week, where he finished 30th having found a return to his ball-striking best.
Spaun has been a regular contender in the desert, finishing third in the Barracuda and 10th in the Shriners, while here at Scottsdale he was excellent when fourth behind Matsuyama, Simpson and Oosthuizen, with subsequent winner Fowler alongside and An, Daniel Berger and Laird just behind. It would be fair to say I'd take a repeat of that leaderboard, and there's an element of the obvious about each of these relative outsiders which makes me a little uncomfortable. And yet, year after year, players with desert form and games built around hitting greens come to the fore at Scottsdale, so let's stick to that formula and hope we can get a strong group of favourites beat.
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