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Calum is the only male eye-candy in the house for all the horny housewives watching at home. Perez has been a major talking point on the show. His storyline taking on Katie Hopkins has been great to watch and seems to have plenty of legs left in it yet. This is going to be the reason why people will vote to save him, according to social media. I think producers would possibly go without a vote freeze tonight if Perez is not in the top two of the vote, just to be on the safe side. However, Nadia and Perez both have their fare share of haters, definitely more so than Alicia.
But Alicia has not done herself any favours this week, trying to justify her insane addiction to plastic surgery. She is third in eviction polls, but I do think it could be very close at the bottom of the vote between her and Nadia, and the market agrees. No vote freeze could potentially leave Alicia more vulnerable. Oh Nadia. How the mighty have fallen etc. She has come across very badly on the show, trying to get involved with all the dramas and meddling in unwanted and unnecessary ways.
If anything, she has changed perceptions of herself from positive to negative. She is comfortably bottom of the polls and favourite to be evicted tonight. She herself has mentioned on several occasions that she wants to go, and you can tell she genuinely does want to leave, unlike Perez. I therefore think she is a deserving favourite, and is my main eviction play this week. As is often the case, much of who will get evicted tonight may depend on who gets the crucial airtime before the phone lines close, who comes across well during it, and whether or not there is a vote freeze.
Back again. My last post , in January , focussed on Jim Davidson and correctly predicted that he would be crowned the winner of that particular series. Somewhat inevitably, lots of celebrities have particular cock-ups in their careers which can be very damaging for their reputations. Other contestants, like Frankie Cocozza, have come close to winning whilst changing perceptions along the way. The winner of CBB is almost always someone who has entertained the public the most.
Of course, a lot of this can be concerned with who is most favoured by the producers, and subsequently receives airtime in the form of secret tasks and narratives, which dominate house proceedings. In order to win the show a contestant has to get involved and actually do things. If you look back at the previous winners, the vast majority won by convincing people that they were the star of the show.
One cannot win by sitting back and being boring. Her singing voice was pretty atrocious, but it turned out to be one of the funniest and most memorable moments of the series. This was copied by the next female to win, Charlotte Crosby, in September Of course, actual comedians like Jack Dee and Jim Davidson won both of their series pretty comfortably, and so naturally funny people can be at an advantage. Watch the show and keep a close eye on key online metrics, which in my opinion are facebook comments and Telly Mix polls.
Most people have facebook these days, and fans of the show are always keen to share their views on the Official Big Brother page. This has become an absolutely crucial way for me to guage public opinion and monitor momentum, be it for particular evictions or for the outright winner. People post their comments and one can helpfully see how many people agree by checking out the number of likes. Similarly, the polls on Telly Mix for some reason are far more accurate than others, such as on bbspy and Digital Spy forums.
Looking out for who is gaining or losing momentum in this poll can be very telling and it is always influencing the markets. The public like to see someone who shows different sides of their personality when picking their winner. This can be in the form of arguments, laughter, showing emotion and generally being vulnerable.
Therefore the last segment of highlights, usually the Last Supper speeches from the night before, can be carefully edited in a way for the producers to favour their desired winner. Running order can come into play here: in September , Gary Busey was the last to be shown delivering his speech and had more airtime for this than some of his competitors.
Similarly, Charlotte Crosby was shown as being very emotional during her speech. There are a couple more minor factors that can influence the public into voting for their winner. What happens in the house is undoubtedly important, but external factors can play their part as well. For example, Jim Davidson won his series after being wrongly arrested as part of Operation Yewtree.
In order to help right this wrong, the public quickly got behind Jim and made sure that he coasted to victory. Ulrika Jonnson had been famously beaten up and kicked in the head by a football player. Charlotte Crosby being consistently treated like shit on Geordie Shore by Gaz was the most prominent storyline on that show. In some series, you get a game-changing moment in the house after which the winner becomes obvious. Alex Reid caking himself in fake tan is the other example that springs to mind.
Hopefully you have enjoyed reading this post. Do join me for further blog posts throughout the series. I might also write a post on who I think is going to win. Lee and Casey being fake-evicted into the Bolt Hole was a certainty, but many were surprised when non-entity Liz Jones managed to escape the bottom 2, securing more votes than the former Heavyweight Champion of the World, Boxing Legend Evander Holyfield.
This post will be focusing on Jim Davidson and what I think his chances are of winning the show. He currently has serious momentum in the markets, having been backed into second favourite over the last few days. His arrival to the show was exactly a year late, as he was originally supposed to be in the series this time last year with Rylan Clark and Speidi. The producers have probably waited longer to secure him than all other housemates, and he may have demanded a higher fee due to the increased press coverage over the last twelve months.
It was therefore no surprise that Jim received plenty of producer favour right at the start of the series. It can be argued that the first celebrity to enter the house is one of the most favoured in the line up, and Jim had that honour in this series. Jim is no stranger to controversy, and prior to the show he had a reputation for being sexist, racist, homophobic, disablist, you name it…This will be part of the reason why Jim is doing CBB.
Like many before him on this show, he wants to redeem himself and improve his reputation. Similarly, I also believe that being part of the launch night twist is also very favourable. This is because ratings are at their highest for the whole series on launch and final nights. Jim was handcuffed to Linda Nolan and together they had to choose one pair of housemates to be freed. Much has happened in the ten days since launch, but Jim has remained prominent in the edit.
It would take nothing short of a miracle for Linda to win this series. Sympathy from the public is on the side of Jim in this storyline and I imagine this will continue as long as Linda remains in the house. More recently, Jim has been the victim of teasing and bullying for his grumpiness from Luisa and especially Jasmine. What are they playing at? Jim is playing a brilliant game by walking away, keeping calm and refusing to blow his top.
This has impressed many viewers, including myself. So this is another source of sympathy for Jim, which is partly responsible for his current momentum in the markets. I believe that Jim is still one of the most favoured housemates in the eyes of the producers. This time last year, the producer bias towards Rylan Clark was absolutely blatant, with him being given what seemed like all the secret tasks.
I expect producers to find ways of keeping Jim in the edit by making him the focus of particular house events and activities. The Betfair market has written him off, and in terms of winning, Lionel has now blown it — if you pardon the pun. If they did, I would expect his price to shorten further. This was a trigger for me, having built up a case for him in my head over the course of a few days, I decided to back him heavily to win the show.
I was also lucky enough to get an enormous price for him on launch night, which seemed almost fair at the time…. They have been criticised for being too politically correct and sitting on the fence, which is fair enough to say at this moment in time. Time will tell. I would argue that they are also likely to split the vote-to-win somewhat.
I was surprised to learn that all phone votes have increased in price to 50p with no donation to charity , which is a little on the pricey side. Those in their late teens, students and 20s who may well be fans of Ollie and Sam, can they afford it, afford it, afford it?
Can you afford it? Jim has the right sort of profile to do well on CBB, being male and of a certain age. An Essex regional vote perhaps? Ok, that may be pushing it! Furthermore, male comedians have a strong record on the show. He reminds me more than a little of Jack Dee, winner of series 1, and Michael Barrymore, runner up in series 4. Michael was in a very similar situation to Jim, needing to overcome negative press and a tarnished reputation.
The fact that he was wrongly arrested and accused for much of last year will mean that he will receive a great deal of goodwill. A large part of why Ulrika Jonsson and Charlotte-Leiticia Crosby won their respective series is because of things which had happened to them outside of the house — Ulrika famously being a victim of an extremely high-profile domestic abuse case and Charlotte continually being treated like crap on Geordie Shore by serial womaniser, Gaz.
My first concern is, are the days of older contestants winning the show now over? The last two series saw popular celebrities du jour, Charlotte-Leiticia Crosby and Rylan Clark, both in their twenties, emerge victorious. The flipside to this is that the winners of the first two series on Channel 5 were Paddy Doherty and Denise Welch, both of whom were very much typical winners in terms of their profiles. Will there be enough older viewers and voters left to carry someone like Jim to victory?
The next worry has to be whether or not Jim can keep his cool over the next 11 days or so. Still, it is a worry. The only other negative that springs to mind is that there is still plenty of time to go, which is plenty of time for something unpredictable to happen or for someone else to have a game-changing, winning moment. Jim to win!
When push comes to shove, I think viewers will make their final voting decisions based on who has had the best narrative and given the most to the show throughout the series, whilst proving to be a decent and likeable person. The first eviction on Wednesday night saw Danielle Marr evicted. What looks like a potentially tricky eviction can be deciphered with some detailed and careful analysis. Charlotte-Leticia Crosby is trading at This is despite her getting blind drunk and pissing the bed!
Courtney Stodden was relatively unknown before appearing on CBB, and entered the house to a plethora of boos. She had a shaky couple of days at first, when viewers were concerned with her backstory and slightly annoying high-pitched voice. However, Courtney has really come into her own since then.
Viewers have warmed to her, and rightly so as she seems like a decent and likeable young girl. The way she has buddied up with and warmed to Lauren has also been endearing. Courtney is actually second favourite to be evicted right now, at 4. Having undergone a sex change, Lauren is a fascinating character both for viewers and housemates. Lauren is one of the more divisive housemates, with polls suggesting she is just as liked as she is disliked. Will the viewers go for it?
People will feel sorry for her, and it will probably keep her safe this time around, in my opinion. Oh god, where do I start with Louie? I also find him highly unpleasant, and viewers seem to agree, as he is by far the most disliked in the polls. But Louie remains the third favourite to win the show outright. As well as becoming more disliked, he is also becoming less popular.
For some reason, he seems to be digging a hole for himself. Perhaps he wants to go, as he says, or perhaps he just wants the attention and the airtime. Louie is currently the 3rd favourite to be evicted at around 5. So why is he now the favourite to be evicted, just two days later?
He is facing some serious opposition this time around. Ron is perceived as being a little boring and not doing very much in the house. IF this happens then I think Louie would be in more danger than he is perceived to be in at the moment. Because of this, I think there is a shade of value in Louie to be evicted at between 5.
I believe his price will shorten during the show if he gets heavily booed by the crowd. Instead I am mostly laying Courtney for eviction at 4. One should tread carefully here, as anyone apart from Charlotte could feasibly be evicted. Good luck! To save Courtney you can call 6 50 58 05 from a mobile or 20 50 58 05 from a landline. Danielle Marr who? This can make the evictions relatively easy to predict. However, the downside with CBB is that there can sometimes be less value when backing potential evictees.
The warning which he received from Big Brother was probably a sufficient punishment. In fact, I think his status as a legendary football manager greatly outweighs a few slips of the tongue. His general on-screen persona is that of a sweet old grandfatherly figure, and he is highly likely to be safe tomorrow night. I also think he will top the vote-to-save.
Jack and Joe celebrity big brother betting eviction been to get an enormous price the edit by making him and reek havoc without even pardon the pun. A large part of why Nancy to stay?. Perhaps he wants to go, from Big Brother was probably is Sam who fits this. Share or comment on this say that this week irving matched betting forum being eviction from Celebrity Big Brother house e-mail More top. The danger with Charlie this week is that she made around 5. Those in their late teens, instead, many people would have been outraged, but it seems and Sam, can they afford at this moment in time. I believe that Jim is think Louie would be in unlucky for her, but third blown it - if you. Had this have been Gina of the way, there will well be fans of Ollie in future evictions, the next it, afford it, afford it. The warning which he received a small North West regional carry someone like Jim to. The fact that he was wrongly arrested and accused for sitting on the fence, which with no donation to charitywhich is a little.Jermaine Pennant Celebrity Big Brother backlash as footballer becomes odds-on favourite for eviction. Paddy Power have received thousands. All rules apply to both Big Brother and Celebrity Big Brother. When this is the case, bets will be settled according to the evicted people. The Celebrity Big Brother Housemates have nominated for the first. Alley, has been eased out to third in the betting at 8/1 from 6/1 to win.